Unemployment in China - October 1998

The major economic issue at the turn of the century in China is the fate of the old, large "state owned enterprises," a legacy of the Soviet system adopted in China in the early 1950's.

The gradual dismantling of these inefficiently run industries has led to an alarming growth in unemployment and underemployment with all their associated social problems.

In 2000, China's economy continued to grow at rates better than expected - as much as 8.2 % per year.But as the Far Eastern Economic Review points at, China had better grow at that rate.

"A growth rate of 8% is the threshold Beijing feels is a minimum needed to create enough new jobs for China's swelling ranks of unemployed."

Click here for my report from Shanghai of October 3, 1998 on China's "Unemployment Chills."


American Investment

Essential for China growth, essential to stave off the specter of massively growing unemployment is foreign investment. China figures importantly in the international planning of many U-S corporations. China's "one billion customers" remains an attraction hard to overlook.

Yet since China opened its doors to foreign investment in the late 1970's, few foreign companies have made big money. Most have struggled.

In the 1980's, my friend and colleague James Mann chronicled the trials of the American Motors Corporation in China in his book "Beijing Jeep." 

In June 1998, companies like Quaker Oats and General Motors were still facing formidable challenges in China.

Click here for my dispatch from Shanghai, June 29, 1998, "Investor Trouble in China"

Footnotes to this story:

In late 2000, General Motors announced what was apparently a better move all along, that they would move in 2001 from big car manufacture to small car production, better suited to the roads and pocket books of China.

In 2001, Quaker Oats was still struggling to make flavored oatmeal either a staple or a snack food among urban Chinese. 

Yet foreign investment continues to flow in. Expectations that China will enter the WTO in 2000 resulted in a sharp jump in contracted foreign direct investment in 1999-2000.

Democracy and Human Rights

In December 1998, I met the wife of one of China's many long suffering advocates of democracy and human rights: He Xintong.I was most impressed.
Some how those who embrace the notion of democratic reform seem far more noble of spirit than those who endeavor to limit reform.

 

Mrs. He's husband Xu Wenli has served two sentences in Chinese jails: from 1981 to 1993 and again for 13 years.

Click here for my report on "Jail, Trails and Harassment of an Activist's Wife"

A footnote: In January 2001,Xu Wenli was still being held in a Chinese prison. His health is said to be poor. Human Rights groups urge concerned citizens to write to their government leaders to put pressure on the Chinese government leadership.


Hong Kong in 1997

1997 of course was the year of the return to Chinese sovereignty of the British colony of Hong Kong.
As since 1970, I had been a regular visitor and resident of the territory, I was anxious to witness the handover.

The transition turned out to be more smooth and the hand-over less dramatic than many reporters expected. Still, I was glad to have had the opportunity to stand at the back of the new Hong Kong Convention Center and watch the ceremony during which Prince Charles of the United Kingdom symbolically at least passed the keys to Hong Kong to China's President Jiang Zemin.

What no one predicted was that Hong Kong would go into economic doldrums shortly after the Chinese gained the economic powerhouse.

In the lead up to the handover, I filed a number of dispatches for ABC News.

Click here for my report on the "Legacy of Tienanmen 1989 haunts Hong Kong" 

Click here  for my report on "The Peoples Liberation Army and navy." After their initial appearance in Hong Kong in June 1997, Chinese troops in Hong Kong have been invisible.

By the summer of 1998, Hong Kong had settled in to life under Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa and his clearly pro-Beijing policies.

What nobody expected - in addition to an economic slowdown - was the shaky opening on what was supposed to be one of Hong Kong post 1997 crowning achievements: the opening of a sprawling, new state-of-the-art international airport. 

Click here for my report on Hong Kong's Airport troubles July 16, 1998


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Opening Up: China in the Seventies Trouble in the Eighties: a personal footnote
Tiananmen Diary Tibet: Then and Now
Notes from the Nineties